The COVID19 Tripwire

“You better tuck that in. You’re gonna’ get that caught on a tripwire.” – Lieutenant Dan, Forrest Gump There is a popular game called Jenga in which a tower of rectangular blocks is arranged to form a sturdy tower. The objective of the game is to take turns removing blocks without causing the tower to […]

Why QE Is Not Working

“The process by which money is created is so simple that the mind is repelled.” – JK Galbraith By formally announcing quantitative easing (QE) infinity on March 23, 2020, the Federal Reserve (Fed) is using its entire arsenal of monetary stimulus. Unlimited purchases of Treasury securities and mortgage-backed securities for an indefinite period is far […]

Technically Speaking: Fed Goes All In. When’s The “Bear Market” Rally?

Let’s flashback to a time not so long ago, May 2019. “It was interesting to see Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, during an address to the Fernandina Beach banking conference, channel Ben Bernanke during his speech on corporate ‘sub-prime’ debt (aka leveraged loans.) ‘Many commentators have observed with a sense of déjà vu the buildup of risky […]

You Were Warned Of The Risk

I have been slammed with emails over the last couple of days asking the following questions: “What just happened to my bonds?” “What happened to my gold position, shouldn’t it be going up?” “Why are all my stocks being flushed at the same time?” As noted by Zerohedge: “Stocks down, Bonds down, credit down, gold […]

The Problem With Pragmatism… and Inflation

Pragmatism is seeking immediate solutions with little to no consideration for the longer-term benefits and consequences. An excellent example of this is the Social Security system in the United States. In the Depression-era, a government-sponsored savings plan was established to “solve” for lack of retirement savings by requiring contributions to a government-sponsored savings plan.  At […]